In this post I will touch on my favorite Wide Receivers for Week 3, as well as my Value of the Week.
Antonio Brown at PHI– Putting AB under studs seems like a cop out, but people are a little down on him this week after his disappointing 4/39 performance on 11 targets against the Bengals last week. The Bengals are a division rival who get to face the Steelers twice a year, and have had success against Brown in the past. Over the last two years, In games with Ben Roethlisberger as his QB, Antonio Brown is averaging 13.6 Targets/10 Receptions/140 Yards/1.08 Touchdowns following games in which he failed to reach 100 receiving yards (12 Game Sample Size). The matchup this week looks juicy against Philly. The strength of the Eagles defense is their front seven. As for the secondary, it was ranked the 29th best by Pro Football Focus coming into this season, and now will be missing their best corner Leodis McKelvin. Look for AB to run wild against the Eagles this weekend, and find the end zone at least once.
Allen Robinson vs BAL- Allen Robinson had a rough go of it last week while being shadowed by Chargers CB Jason Verrett. This week looks like a big bounce back spot for ARob, he gets to face a Ravens secondary who just got roasted by Brown’s rookie WR Corey Coleman to the tune of 104yds & 2TDs. Robinson saw 15 targets in Week 1, and with this being a must win situation for the Jags, Bortles should continue to pepper Robinson with as many targets as he can handle. 100+ yards and a score seems very possible in this matchup for ARob.
Honorable Mentions: Julio Jones, Amari Cooper, Jordy Nelson
Volume & Matchup Plays
Jeremy Maclin vs NYJ– Through the first two games, Jeremy Maclin has seen a total of 22 targets. In this matchup against the Jets, I expect the Chiefs to go with a pass heavy attack. The Jets are an extreme funnel defense because they possess an elite run defense. Teams facing the Jets so far this season have averaged 315.5 passing yards compared to 71.5 rushing yards. In Week 1, AJ Green embarrassed Darrelle Revis for 12/180/1. Last week against the Bills, the Jets secondary gave up 2 touchdowns over 70 yards. Maclin should be able to get behind the secondary with ease this week.
Jarvis Landry vs CLE- Every week Jarvis Landry is about as safe of a play as it gets. However this week, that high floor comes with a pretty high ceiling against the Browns. Landry primarily lines up in the slot. Thankfully for Landry, the Cleveland Browns have yielded 100+ yards to both TE Dennis Pitta and WR Jordan Matthews, who run the majority of their routes in the middle of the field. Also working in Landry’s favor this week, is the Dolphins uncertainty at the running back position. After losing RB Arian Foster to injury, Miami comes into this week having to rely on Jay Ajayi, Damien Williams, Kenyan Drake, and Isaiah Pead. None of those running backs have more than 54 career rushing attempts. Miami will probably use quick throws to Landry as an extension of their run game. I can see Landry catching 12 balls this week, hopefully he can parlay that into big yardage and a score.
Honorable Mentions: Travis Benjamin, Marvin Jones Jr., Sterling Shepard
Value Play of the Week
Tajae Sharpe vs OAK – In the first two games, Rookie WR Tajae Sharpe has played on 131/132 (98%) offensive snaps. Marcus Mariota has targeted Sharpe 18 times so far, making him the clear WR1 for the Titans. Tight End Delanie Walker has been limited in practice all week, and his status for Week 3 is uncertain. This could provide a huge opportunity for Sharpe against a Raiders defense that has given up more than 500 total yards in each of its first two games. The Raiders have allowed 8 total touchdowns so far this season, and 7 of those TDs have come through the air. I think Sharpe finds the end zone for the first time in his young career this week.